NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 28, 2025
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 19 | 27 | 79.2% | 1 | 34.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 13 | 28 | 56.5% | 3 | 27.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Matt McEwan | 12 | 30 | 57.1% | 2 | 26.8 | 4 |
| 3 | Mike Thorne | 12 | 28 | 52.2% | 5 | 27.6 | 2 |
| 5 | Andrew Moeller | 11 | 29 | 50.0% | 6 | 26.1 | 5 |
| 5 | Karl Loiseau | 11 | 30 | 52.4% | 4 | 25.9 | 6 |
| 5 | Luke Phelan | 11 | 28 | 47.8% | 7 | 23.8 | 8 |
| 8 | Nick Boucher | 10 | 27 | 41.7% | 9 | 22.7 | 9 |
| 8 | Matt Hogel | 10 | 28 | 43.5% | 8 | 24.4 | 7 |
| 10 | Dan Ellenberger | 9 | 29 | 40.9% | 10 | 22.4 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 12.3 | PIT | 0.61 |
| New England Patriots | 6 | 11.0 | ATL | 0.69 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 11.2 | – | |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 6 | 10.9 | HOU | 0.45 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 9.0 | LV | 0.61 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 7.6 | SEA | 0.38 |
| Matt McEwan | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 11.2 | KC | 0.45 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 10.2 | WAS | 0.62 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 5.4 | JAX | 0.39 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 5 | 11.1 | CAR | 0.86 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 9.9 | TEN | 0.81 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 6.6 | SF | 0.41 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 5 | 11.1 | MIN | 0.77 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 7.5 | NE | 0.31 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 7.5 | ARI | 0.59 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 11.1 | NO | 0.87 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 8.4 | CIN | 0.59 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 6.4 | DAL | 0.41 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 11.1 | – | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 8.9 | IND | 0.39 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 3.8 | LAC | 0.19 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 10.4 | NYG | 0.59 |
| Houston Texans | 3 | 8.1 | DEN | 0.55 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 5.9 | BAL | 0.25 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 11.1 | BUF | 0.55 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 6.8 | CHI | 0.41 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 4.8 | – | |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Carolina Panthers | 4 | 7.5 | GB | 0.14 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 6.6 | DET | 0.23 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 8.3 | MIA | 0.75 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| New England Patriots | 6 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Denver Broncos | 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 14 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Matt McEwan | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 5 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 5 | 6 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 17 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 10 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 24 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 13 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| Houston Texans | 3 | 15 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 20 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 16 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| Carolina Panthers | 4 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Draft Results
